by admin on | 2025-12-04 08:43:37 Last Updated by admin on 2026-02-20 20:12:18
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Abstract
This paper argues that the 2025 Tanzanian
election was not a genuine democratic exercise
but a staged formality conducted after the
state had dismantled the essential conditions
for meaningful political competition. By the
time citizens went to the polls, the outcome
had already been predetermined through the
detention and exile of key opposition leaders,
the disqualification of major parties, bans on
rallies, and intimidation of ordinary voters.
The election period was further marked by
serious human rights violations, including
enforced disappearances, extrajudicial killings,
torture, and an extensive internet shutdown
that blocked transparency.
The paper further contends that these events
signal a deeper constitutional breakdown
in which institutions such as the courts,
parliament, and the electoral commission
failed to perform meaningful oversight.
Legal frameworks were weaponised to
give a veneer of legality to repression,
while post-election appointments of family
members and loyalists to powerful ministries revealed the consolidation of a personalised
and unaccountable system of governance.
The analysis concludes that Tanzania’s
crisis poses significant risks for regional
stability, increases the likelihood of military
intervention, and weakens Africa’s democratic
norms. The silence and inaction of regional
bodies, particularly the African Union and the
East African Community, not only enable this
authoritarian drift but also set a dangerous
precedent that elections can be emptied of
substance and rights violated at scale without
consequence.
“Ukiona serikali ambayo haitaki kukosolewa, tambua kuwa hiyo si serikali nzuri. Serikali inayokataa kusikia sauti za watu wake inaelekea kwenye udikteta, maana demokrasia ni sauti ya wananchi, si amri ya viongozi.” — Julius K. Nyerere.
Allegedly, Tanzanians recently went to the polls to elect their next president. Allegedly. The word does heavy lifting here. Allegedly, for several reasons: Were these really polls, or an elaborate national theatre production staged for the benefit of international observers who forgot their glasses? After all, how does one ‘go to the polls’ when every formidable opposition candidate has been silenced into political oblivion, and one of the most prominent opposition figures sits behind bars, charged not with crimes but with the offense of daring to exist? Was this an election or a meticulously curated performance in which the script, cast, lighting, and ending had been predetermined by State House long before the first ballot box was ceremoniously displayed on television? And even if Tanzanians did “go,” where exactly did they go? To a polling station or to a funeral procession masquerading as civic duty? When the Southern African Development Community (SADC) itself boldly declared that there were no real elections and that the will of the people was not reflected.2 One wonders: what will, and which people? The same people who were subjected to abductions and violence did not live long enough to write wills, let alone cast ballots. The irony is almost biblical.
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